A Comparative Analysis of the Organization of Turkic States: Population Size and Birth Rate as Indicators of Demographic Sustainability
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.25178/nit.2025.3.24Keywords:
Organization of Turkic States; Azerbaijan; Kazakhstan; Kyrgyzstan; Turkey; Uzbekistan; demographic sustainability; birth rate; demographic transitionAbstract
This study considers the main indicators of demographic sustainability in the Republic of Azerbaijan, the Republic of Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Turkey, and the Republic of Uzbekistan, which are members of the Organization of Turkic States (OTS), an entity whose important area of activity is addressing and preventing demographic challenges. The countries are united by steady population growth; however, the dynamics vary significantly between them, which affects their demographic sustainability. The analysis focuses on population size and birth rates. The methodological framework of the research is based on demographic development concepts and the theory of demographic transition. The study covers the period from 2009 to 2023.
Indicators of birth rates among the populations of these Turkic countries are typologized. It has been revealed that Turkey and Azerbaijan demonstrate population reproduction trends similar to those observed in European Union countries (low birth rates and postponement of first births to older age groups). It is found that Turkey’s socio-economic development indicators contribute to greater demographic sustainability compared to the other OTS countries. In several OTS countries, there are observed tendencies for emigration, which may adversely affect demographic sustainability.
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For citation:
Rostovskaya T. K., Sagynbayeva A. and Suleymanli E. A Comparative Analysis of the Organization of Turkic States: Population Size and Birth Rate as Indicators of Demographic Sustainability. New Research of Tuva, 2025, no. 3, pp. 407-420 (In Russ.). DOI: https://doi.org/10.25178/nit.2025.3.24
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Author Biographies
Tamara K. Rostovskaya, Institute of Demographic Research, Federal Scientific Research Sociological Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences; RUDN University
Doctor of Sociology, Professor, Deputy Director, Institute of Demographic Research, Federal Research Sociological Center, Russian Academy of Sciences;
Director, Institute of Modern Languages, Intercultural Communication and Migratio, RUDN University.
Postal addresses: Room 1 Fotieva Str., 119333, Russia, Moscow; 6 Miklukho-Maklaya Str., 117198, Russia, Moscow.
E-mail: rostovskaya.tamara@mail.ru
Ayaulym Sagynbayeva, Charles University
Doctoral Student, Department of Demography and Geodemography, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Charles University.
Postal address: 6 Albert Str., Czech Republic, 12843, Prague.
E-mail: ayaulym.zarlykan@gmail.com; sagynbaa@natur.cuni.cz
Ebulfez Suleymanli , Uskudar University
Doctor of Sociology, Professor, Department of Sociology, Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities, Uskydar University.
Postal address: 14 Haluk Turksoy Str., Istanbul, Türkiye, 34662.
E-mail: ebulfez.suleymanli@uskudar.edu.tr, asuleymanov@yahoo.com
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